Tech Review 2014

Crystal ball, tea leaves or maths - forecasting data traffic for IMT

This paper aims to contribute to a critical examination of the spectrum requirements put forward by the mobile industry in Report ITU-R M.2290. A number of erroneous elements in that report lead to the conclusion that the spectrum requirements for IMT are greatly overestimated.

Open file (pdf, 1,5 MB)

This paper aims to contribute to a critical examination of the mobile spectrum requirements as put forward by the mobile industry in the Report ITU-R M.2290. A number of erroneous elements have been identified in this report leading to the conclusion in this paper that the spectrum requirements for IMT are greatly overestimated. The mobile industry, supported by some national administrations, has formally proposed the estimated amount of spectrum in the Report ITU-R M.2290 to be allocated to mobile services at the WRC-15. No cost/benefit analysis and no impact assessment on the existing spectrum users have been provided to support this proposal.